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Richard Posner has argued that humanity is doing far too little, in general, about small, hard-to-estimate dangers of enormous- im a daddy shark who happens to cuss a lot doo doo doo ugly christmas sweaterscale catastrophes. Given the constraints of strange calculation and modeling, expert elicitation is frequently used as a substitute to

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with the direct results of the deposits of ash on their crops. A large supervolcano like Toba would deposit one or two meters thickness of ash over an area of a number of million square kilometers.(one thousand cubic kilometers is equal to a one-meter thickness of ash unfold over one million square kilometers). If that happened in some densely populated agricultural area, im a daddy shark who happens to cuss a lot doo doo doo ugly christmas sweatercorresponding to India, it might destroy one or two seasons of crops for 2 billion people. Climate change refers to an enduring change in the Earth’s climate. The climate has ranged from ice ages to warmer intervals when palm bushes grew in Antarctica. It has been hypothesized that there was additionally a period referred to as “snowball Earth” when all of the oceans had been covered in a layer of ice. These international climatic modifications occurred slowly, close to the top of the last Major Ice Age when the climate grew to become extra secure.

However, abrupt local weather change on the last decade time scale has occurred regionally. A pure variation into a brand new local weather regime may pose a threat to civilization. Some economists have discussed the significance of worldwide catastrophic dangers, though not existential dangers. Martin Weitzman argues that most of the expected economic harm from climate change could come from the small likelihood that warming significantly exceeds the mid-vary expectations, leading to catastrophic harm.